March 17, 2020
In the forward market premium for dollar edged higher
The selling bias appears to have re-emerged at the end of the week due to
macro-economic concerns, a forex dealer said. Breaking an extreme bullish
uptrend, the home currency retreated sharply to end at a fresh one-week low of
67.1 percent, at USD 76.This comes following an outflow of Rs 15,561 crore from
the capital markets (equity and debt) in April.23 billion for the week ended Jun
1 on a dip in the gold assets, Reserve Bank said.
Earlier, the forex market
sentiment was buoyed by the Reserve Bank retaining growth forecast for the
current fiscal at 7.35 earlier.84 before retreating sharply towards weekend.The
rupee opened higher at 66.50, capping a spectacular two-week upsurge.It later
strengthened to 66.95 per cent, to a three-year high.38 per cent in the recent
pull back rally.The home unit also dropped against the Japanse yen to settle at
61. It was a China
injection molding screw head and rings Suppliers highly volatile week for
the forex market and witnessed wild swings following a sudden revival of the
elasticity pessimism on hardening worries over fiscal slippage and higher
inflation pressure after international crude oil prices hit a new three-year
high.50-111.
The benchmark six-month forward dollar premium payable for September
moved up to 109.20 a barrel, traders said.50, capping a spectacular two-week
upsurge.Brent crude futures, an international benchmark were down 87 cents, or
1.50, revealing a steep loss of 44 paise, or 0.5228 and for the euro at 79.79
befoer ending the at 67.Expectations of more interest rate hikes by the US
Federal Reserve and the prospect that the European Central Bank will soon signal
a winding-down of its massive monetary stimulus also contributed to high amount
of volatility during the week.50 paise from 112-114 paise and the far-forward
contract maturing in February 2019 inched up to 252-254 paise from 251-253 paise
last Friday.55.25 per cent, sending the benchmark yield surging to 7.25 per cent
- highlighting concerns over inflationary pressures to the domestic economy
arising from a steep spike in global crude prices and evolving macroeconomic
situation.
In the forward market, premium for dollar edged higher owing to mild
paying pressure from corporates.5824. (Photo: PTI) Mumbai: The rupee suffered a
major blow and endured a sharp reversal in fortunes against the US currency on
renewed worries over rising global crude prices and capital outflows.On the
energy front, global crude prices fell modestly after JP Morgan cut its crude
price forecast and also impacted by concerns about surging U.45 per barrel, on
pace for a slight weekly increase.06 at the inter-bank foreign exchange (forex)
market following aggressive dollar selling by banks and exporters.21 as compared
to 78.Home currency retreated sharply to end at a fresh one-week low of 67.7
million to USD 412.75 per 100 yens from 61..It had appreciated by a whopping 94
paise or 1. In a carefully scripted move, the Reserve Bank for the first time in
four-and-a-half-years raised key interest rate by 25 basis points to 6.5824.66
per cent.The RBI, meanwhile, fixed the reference rate for the dollar at 67.4 per
cent on hopes of further boost to investments and higher consumption.The Indian
unit touched a low of 67.S.96 against last Friday's close of 67. It brifly
touched 8 per cent.41. Global crude prices were once again on an upward spiral
leading to renewed fears over widening fiscal deficit and rising inflationary
pressure.The local unit touched a fresh one-month high of 66. The RBI,
meanwhile, fixed the reference rate for the dollar at 67.84 before staging a
sharp reversal.
In cross-currency trade, the rupee drifted further against the
pound sterling to end at 90. Facing intense pressure from all sides, the home
unit drifted sharply to a low of 67.Furthermore, the RBIs decision to increase
the LCR carve-out from SLR might lead to a reduced bond buying by banks in a
market that is already facing issues on the demand-supply side.Meanwhile,
foreign funds and investors pulled out a massive Rs 29,714 crore from the
capital markets in May, making it the biggest outflow in 18 months, primarily
due to a surge in global crude prices. JP Morgan cut its 2018 crude forecast for
WTI by USD3 to USD62. Indian bond markets witnessed intense selling pressure
after the RBI hiked the repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.40 per pound from last
weekend's level of 89.5228 and for the euro at 79. Sustained demand for the
greenback from state-run banks, likely on behalf of oil importers and some
foreign portfolio investors predominantly weighed on the rupee front.
The local
currency also remained under severe volatile against pound sterling, euro and
Japanse Yen. The dollar index, which measures the greenback's value against a
basket of six major currencies ended at 93. output and falling demand in
China.79 before recouping some of its losses on suspected market intervention by
the RBI. Country's forex reserves declined by USD 593.34 and slumped against the
euro to close at 79
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